BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Valentina Shevchenko vs.
Amanda Nunes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-3-1 Valentina Shevchenko · UFC
16-2-0 Amanda Nunes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-3-1
UFC record
16-2-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
38.4
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
38.2
5'5"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
66"
ReachΔ 3"
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 29.2 mo
37.9
WWWDL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Amanda Nunes carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Amanda Nunes hunts takedowns — 2.79 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Amanda Nunes

Full career not yet synced for Amanda Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 13-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11003.04/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
9284.54/min · norm 3.56
7262.00/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
4992.44/min · norm 3.51
52.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 46.65%
63.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
59.3%norm 52.45%
20.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
80.59/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.9%)

Amanda Nunes

Distance 73.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 23.8% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.7%)

Amanda Nunes

Head 74.9% (norm 75.2%) · Body 11.1% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 14.0% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Nunes L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 790 / 1693 46.7% 39.9% 639 / 1309 48.8% 38.3%
In the clinch 104 / 155 67.1% 73.3% 33 / 51 64.7% 73.3%
On the ground 206 / 242 85.1% 74.7% 256 / 424 60.4% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 722 / 1590 45.4% 34.9% 629 / 1337 47.0% 37.7%
To the body 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5% 124 / 198 62.6% 70.0%
To the legs 228 / 279 81.7% 82.6% 175 / 249 70.3% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 529 / 1739 30.4% 38.8% 397 / 1071 37.1% 41.3%
In the clinch 153 / 183 83.6% 74.1% 45 / 66 68.2% 74.7%
On the ground 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4% 57 / 89 64.0% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.3% 338 / 1001 33.8% 38.1%
To the body 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0% 73 / 109 67.0% 73.2%
To the legs 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7% 88 / 116 75.9% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
3856.7% acc · 2.79/15 · norm 0.91
4276.4% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
2681.3% def · norm 62.5%
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
69:5834.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
13:120:58 per 15 · norm 3:19
70.29/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
100.73/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.