BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Vagner Rocha vs.
Cody McKenzie

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Vagner Rocha · UFC
3-4-0 Cody McKenzie · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44.2
AgeΔ 5.6 yrs
38.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
140.9
Layoff (months)Δ 10.8 mo
151.7
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cody McKenzie is a submission threat — 2.50 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Vagner Rocha is a submission threat — 1.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Cody McKenzie hunts takedowns — 2.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Vagner Rocha

Full career not yet synced for Vagner Rocha — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Cody McKenzie

Full career not yet synced for Cody McKenzie — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

852.64/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
941.74/min · norm 3.42
1454.50/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1352.50/min · norm 3.37
42.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.3%norm 43.5%
48.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
67.2%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Vagner Rocha

Distance 91.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.0%)

Cody McKenzie

Distance 86.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Vagner Rocha

Head 77.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.0% (norm 7.9%)

Cody McKenzie

Head 88.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rocha L/AAccLightweight med McKenzie L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 183 40.4% 37.9% 67 / 238 28.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.3% 12 / 18 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 10 / 16 too few to rate 69.1% 15 / 18 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 154 36.4% 35.0% 73 / 242 30.2% 35.0%
To the body 9 / 18 too few to rate 69.1% 12 / 19 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 20 / 28 71.4% 81.9% 9 / 13 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rocha L/AOpp accLightweight med vs McKenzie L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 127 / 257 49.4% 38.9% 103 / 367 28.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 5 / 7 too few to rate 68.6% 8 / 13 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.0% 24 / 32 75.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 181 35.9% 35.1% 67 / 301 22.3% 35.1%
To the body 19 / 28 67.9% 68.1% 47 / 83 56.6% 68.1%
To the legs 61 / 70 87.1% 81.5% 21 / 28 75.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

333.3% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
925.0% acc · 2.50/15 · norm 1.38
250.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
114.3% def · norm 64.0%
7:0221.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
15:1628.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:151:02 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
11:593:19 per 15 · norm 2:46
41.86/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
92.50/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — McKenzie has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.