Umar Nurmagomedov vs.
Raoni Barcelos
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Umar Nurmagomedov
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500
Raoni Barcelos
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 4 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 5 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Umar Nurmagomedov
Distance 75.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 6.5%)
Raoni Barcelos
Distance 82.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Umar Nurmagomedov
Head 76.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)
Raoni Barcelos
Head 82.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nurmagomedov L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Barcelos L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 329 / 654 | 50.3% | 39.0% | 681 / 1471 | 46.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 29 / 39 | 74.4% | 68.7% | 64 / 80 | 80.0% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 131 / 173 | 75.7% | 70.2% | 173 / 224 | 77.2% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 334 / 662 | 50.5% | 34.9% | 672 / 1469 | 45.7% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 99 / 140 | 70.7% | 66.8% | 124 / 164 | 75.6% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 56 / 64 | 87.5% | 79.4% | 122 / 142 | 85.9% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nurmagomedov L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Barcelos L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 206 / 557 | 37.0% | 39.3% | 741 / 1976 | 37.5% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 28 / 47 | 59.6% | 70.4% | 59 / 96 | 61.5% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 2 / 4 | too few to rate | 72.4% | 37 / 51 | 72.5% | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 117 / 438 | 26.7% | 34.9% | 545 / 1730 | 31.5% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 74 / 111 | 66.7% | 66.0% | 170 / 250 | 68.0% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 45 / 59 | 76.3% | 79.1% | 122 / 143 | 85.3% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barcelos has more cage time on record.