Tucker Lutz vs.
Kevin Aguilar
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Tucker Lutz
Full career not yet synced for Tucker Lutz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500
Kevin Aguilar
Full career not yet synced for Kevin Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Tucker Lutz
Distance 93.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 6.5%)
Kevin Aguilar
Distance 91.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Tucker Lutz
Head 71.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.8%)
Kevin Aguilar
Head 78.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lutz L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Aguilar L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 158 / 372 | 42.5% | 40.9% | 272 / 754 | 36.1% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 19 / 23 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 28 / 41 | 68.3% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 20 / 27 | 74.1% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 95 / 284 | 33.5% | 37.2% | 187 / 644 | 29.0% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 54 / 76 | 71.1% | 68.2% | 114 / 152 | 75.0% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 31 / 39 | 79.5% | 80.7% | 19 / 26 | 73.1% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lutz L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Aguilar L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 156 / 284 | 54.9% | 39.2% | 332 / 743 | 44.7% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 24 / 31 | 77.4% | 70.3% | 24 / 35 | 68.6% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 5 / 6 | too few to rate | 69.4% | 37 / 46 | 80.4% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 96 / 205 | 46.8% | 35.9% | 248 / 631 | 39.3% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 69 / 93 | 74.2% | 67.9% | 70 / 105 | 66.7% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 20 / 23 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 75 / 88 | 85.2% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aguilar has more cage time on record.