BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tristan Connelly vs.
Pat Sabatini

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Tristan Connelly · UFC
9-2-0 Pat Sabatini · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
9-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
40.6
AgeΔ 4.9 yrs
35.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
51.2
Layoff (months)Δ 48.3 mo
2.9
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Pat Sabatini owns the mat — in control 71% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Pat Sabatini hunts takedowns — 4.27 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Tristan Connelly rarely shoots — 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tristan Connelly

Full career not yet synced for Tristan Connelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Pat Sabatini

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 92
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1493.31/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1781.69/min · norm 3.54
1332.96/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
1221.16/min · norm 3.47
51.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
54.6%norm 45.0%
50.9%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tristan Connelly

Distance 68.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 18.2% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 6.5%)

Pat Sabatini

Distance 54.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 35.9% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tristan Connelly

Head 83.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.8%)

Pat Sabatini

Head 79.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Connelly L/AAccFeatherweight med Sabatini L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 79 / 200 39.5% 40.9% 69 / 179 38.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 39 / 53 73.6% 70.8% 21 / 30 70.0% 70.8%
On the ground 31 / 39 79.5% 69.2% 88 / 117 75.2% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 109 / 243 44.9% 37.2% 127 / 259 49.0% 37.2%
To the body 22 / 31 71.0% 68.2% 31 / 42 73.8% 68.2%
To the legs 18 / 18 too few to rate 80.7% 20 / 25 80.0% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Connelly L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Sabatini L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 72 / 200 36.0% 39.2% 77 / 195 39.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 42 / 49 85.7% 70.3% 26 / 37 70.3% 70.3%
On the ground 19 / 22 too few to rate 69.4% 19 / 34 55.9% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 221 43.9% 35.9% 65 / 198 32.8% 35.9%
To the body 33 / 46 71.7% 67.9% 38 / 45 84.4% 67.9%
To the legs 3 / 4 too few to rate 81.5% 19 / 23 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

114.3% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
3041.1% acc · 4.27/15 · norm 1.19
1260.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
450.0% def · norm 61.5%
8:0217.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
74:5171.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
20:536:57 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
8:541:15 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.33/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
91.28/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sabatini has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.