BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Trey Waters vs.
Billy Ray Goff

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Trey Waters · UFC
1-2-0 Billy Ray Goff · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
31.5
AgeΔ 3.4 yrs
28.1
6'5"
HeightΔ 7"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 5"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
11
Layoff (months)Δ 3.2 mo
14.2
LWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Billy Ray Goff outworks the Welterweight division — 7.11 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Trey Waters outworks the Welterweight division — 6.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Trey Waters absorbs 5.78 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Trey Waters

Full career not yet synced for Trey Waters — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Billy Ray Goff

Full career not yet synced for Billy Ray Goff — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2186.60/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1577.11/min · norm 3.17
1915.78/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1145.16/min · norm 3.06
46.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
46.6%norm 44.9%
55.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
59.1%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.68/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Trey Waters

Distance 99.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 8.1%)

Billy Ray Goff

Distance 93.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Trey Waters

Head 90.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)

Billy Ray Goff

Head 66.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waters L/AAccWelterweight med Goff L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 214 / 462 46.3% 38.6% 144 / 316 45.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 3 / 3 too few to rate 67.8% 11 / 16 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.2% 2 / 5 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 190 / 423 44.9% 37.2% 77 / 224 34.4% 37.2%
To the body 16 / 28 57.1% 70.7% 32 / 55 58.2% 70.7%
To the legs 12 / 15 too few to rate 82.9% 48 / 58 82.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waters L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Goff L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 179 / 408 43.9% 39.0% 111 / 275 40.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 10 / 15 too few to rate 68.9% 3 / 4 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 111 / 321 34.6% 35.6% 103 / 259 39.8% 35.6%
To the body 23 / 41 56.1% 69.6% 10 / 19 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 57 / 63 90.5% 82.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

133.3% acc · 0.45/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
17.1% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.27
1890.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
250.0% def · norm 63.9%
0:271.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
5:1023.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
5:002:16 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
1:421:09 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.45/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waters has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.