Trey Ogden vs.
Kurt Holobaugh
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Trey Ogden
Full career not yet synced for Trey Ogden — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Kurt Holobaugh
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 2 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Trey Ogden
Distance 95.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 8.0%)
Kurt Holobaugh
Distance 86.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Trey Ogden
Head 69.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 7.9%)
Kurt Holobaugh
Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Ogden L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Holobaugh L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 302 / 626 | 48.2% | 37.9% | 357 / 880 | 40.6% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 22 | too few to rate | 67.3% | 75 / 104 | 72.1% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 10 / 10 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 24 / 30 | 80.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 165 / 454 | 36.3% | 35.0% | 283 / 784 | 36.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 62 / 81 | 76.5% | 69.1% | 113 / 153 | 73.9% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 103 / 123 | 83.7% | 81.9% | 60 / 77 | 77.9% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Ogden L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Holobaugh L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 303 / 730 | 41.5% | 38.9% | 292 / 648 | 45.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 4 / 6 | too few to rate | 68.6% | 72 / 102 | 70.6% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 53 / 75 | 70.7% | 68.0% | 79 / 110 | 71.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 144 / 493 | 29.2% | 35.1% | 329 / 717 | 45.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 80 / 158 | 50.6% | 68.1% | 80 / 103 | 77.7% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 136 / 160 | 85.0% | 81.5% | 34 / 40 | 85.0% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holobaugh has more cage time on record.