BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Trevor Smith vs.
Dan Miller

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-7-0 Trevor Smith · UFC
6-7-0 Dan Miller · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-7-0
UFC record
6-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45.6
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
45.1
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80
Layoff (months)Δ 52.8 mo
132.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dan Miller is a submission threat — 1.63 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Trevor Smith owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Trevor Smith is a submission threat — 0.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Trevor Smith

Full career not yet synced for Trevor Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Dan Miller

Full career not yet synced for Dan Miller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5183.44/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2982.02/min · norm 3.25
4913.26/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4583.11/min · norm 3.20
55.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
36.0%norm 47.4%
53.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
49.0%norm 53.8%
20.20/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.20/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Trevor Smith

Distance 65.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.9% (norm 10.3%)

Dan Miller

Distance 83.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Trevor Smith

Head 70.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 8.4%)

Dan Miller

Head 80.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smith L/AAccMiddleweight med Miller L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 272 / 612 44.4% 40.5% 207 / 691 30.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 128 / 161 79.5% 70.3% 43 / 56 76.8% 70.3%
On the ground 118 / 157 75.2% 69.1% 48 / 80 60.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 281 / 654 43.0% 38.9% 193 / 662 29.2% 38.9%
To the body 135 / 160 84.4% 71.7% 63 / 114 55.3% 71.7%
To the legs 102 / 116 87.9% 83.3% 42 / 51 82.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smith L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Miller L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 324 / 833 38.9% 39.5% 258 / 625 41.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 153 / 201 76.1% 70.9% 75 / 96 78.1% 70.9%
On the ground 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.0% 125 / 177 70.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 299 / 817 36.6% 37.9% 340 / 768 44.3% 37.9%
To the body 151 / 188 80.3% 71.3% 46 / 56 82.1% 71.3%
To the legs 41 / 46 89.1% 82.1% 72 / 74 97.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1633.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1551.7% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.42
1368.4% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1647.1% def · norm 63.1%
57:2538.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
29:2820.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:011:41 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
58:025:54 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.60/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
161.63/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Miller has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.