BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Travis Lutter vs.
Trevor Prangley

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Travis Lutter · UFC
2-2-0 Trevor Prangley · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
53
AgeΔ 0 yrs
53
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
219.5
Layoff (months)Δ 24.5 mo
244
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Trevor Prangley hunts takedowns — 4.11 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Trevor Prangley owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Travis Lutter is wasteful with strikes at range — only 14% land, vs a 40% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Travis Lutter

Full career not yet synced for Travis Lutter — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Trevor Prangley

Full career not yet synced for Trevor Prangley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

190.41/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1112.17/min · norm 3.25
1122.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
771.51/min · norm 3.20
32.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 47.4%
42.6%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.6%norm 53.8%
10.32/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Travis Lutter

Distance 62.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 27.1% (norm 10.3%)

Trevor Prangley

Distance 38.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 35.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 26.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Travis Lutter

Head 88.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Trevor Prangley

Head 63.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 19.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lutter L/AAccMiddleweight med Prangley L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 5 / 37 13.5% 40.5% 22 / 72 30.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.3% 58 / 66 87.9% 70.3%
On the ground 9 / 16 too few to rate 69.1% 31 / 50 62.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 13 / 52 25.0% 38.9% 45 / 120 37.5% 38.9%
To the body 6 / 7 too few to rate 71.7% 30 / 32 93.8% 71.7%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.3% 36 / 36 100.0% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lutter L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Prangley L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 31 / 89 34.8% 39.5% 29 / 62 46.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 57 / 68 83.8% 70.9% 29 / 51 56.9% 70.9%
On the ground 24 / 38 63.2% 69.0% 19 / 43 44.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 132 42.4% 37.9% 40 / 111 36.0% 37.9%
To the body 21 / 25 84.0% 71.3% 26 / 34 76.5% 71.3%
To the legs 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1% 11 / 11 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

624.0% acc · 1.95/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1463.6% acc · 4.11/15 · norm 1.42
330.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2074.1% def · norm 63.1%
13:4829.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
26:2451.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
18:506:06 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
14:334:16 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.65/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
41.17/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lutter has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.