BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tracy Cortez vs.
Justine Kish

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-3-0 Tracy Cortez · UFC
3-4-0 Justine Kish · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
32
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 62.7 mo
63.6
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tracy Cortez hunts takedowns — 1.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Tracy Cortez owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Justine Kish carries real power — 0.14 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tracy Cortez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 73
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Justine Kish

Full career not yet synced for Justine Kish — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5453.90/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
4694.51/min · norm 3.91
5193.71/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
4774.59/min · norm 3.81
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
48.1%norm 44.9%
53.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 55.95%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tracy Cortez

Distance 81.7% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.8% (norm 4.9%)

Justine Kish

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tracy Cortez

Head 78.5% (norm 78.1%) · Body 12.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 7.7%)

Justine Kish

Head 62.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.2% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cortez L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Kish L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 386 / 926 41.7% 39.9% 399 / 871 45.8% 39.9%
In the clinch 48 / 62 77.4% 73.3% 53 / 76 69.7% 73.3%
On the ground 111 / 145 76.6% 74.7% 17 / 28 60.7% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 359 / 889 40.4% 34.9% 205 / 611 33.6% 34.9%
To the body 101 / 140 72.1% 69.5% 108 / 168 64.3% 69.5%
To the legs 85 / 104 81.7% 82.6% 156 / 196 79.6% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cortez L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Kish L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 464 / 1039 44.7% 38.8% 388 / 995 39.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 44 / 63 69.8% 74.1% 41 / 62 66.1% 74.1%
On the ground 11 / 15 too few to rate 73.4% 48 / 71 67.6% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 333 / 866 38.5% 35.3% 288 / 855 33.7% 35.3%
To the body 97 / 141 68.8% 69.0% 96 / 155 61.9% 69.0%
To the legs 89 / 110 80.9% 78.7% 93 / 118 78.8% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1737.8% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
633.3% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.02
1858.1% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
750.0% def · norm 58.95%
43:4631.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
11:4511.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
21:282:18 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
20:553:01 per 15 · norm 3:03
30.32/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.14/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cortez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.