BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tonya Evinger vs.
Cristiane Justino

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Tonya Evinger · UFC
6-1-0 Cristiane Justino · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
6-1-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Featherweight
45
AgeΔ 4 yrs
41
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
86.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
84.3
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cristiane Justino carries real power — 0.46 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.17 Women's Featherweight norm.
Cristiane Justino outworks the Women's Featherweight division — 7.07 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.85 norm.
Tonya Evinger absorbs 5.73 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tonya Evinger

Full career not yet synced for Tonya Evinger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Cristiane Justino

Full career not yet synced for Cristiane Justino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

471.55/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
4607.07/min · norm 3.85
1745.73/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
1482.28/min · norm 2.33
42.0%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
57.0%norm 51.0%
38.7%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
67.9%norm 64.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.46/15 · norm 0.17

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tonya Evinger

Distance 85.7% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 13.4% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 7.5%)

Cristiane Justino

Distance 72.1% (norm 72.1%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 16.0%) · Ground 11.9% (norm 11.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tonya Evinger

Head 60.7% (norm 75.2%) · Body 25.0% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 8.8%)

Cristiane Justino

Head 71.0% (norm 74.7%) · Body 20.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 8.6% (norm 9.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Evinger L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Justino L/AAccWomen's Featherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 35 / 96 36.5% 38.3% 297 / 582 51.0% 47.3%
In the clinch 11 / 15 too few to rate 73.3% 101 / 129 78.3% 78.3%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.8% 62 / 96 64.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 17 / 68 25.0% 37.7% 260 / 573 45.4% 42.9%
To the body 19 / 28 67.9% 70.0% 136 / 165 82.4% 79.1%
To the legs 11 / 16 too few to rate 80.9% 64 / 69 92.8% 82.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Featherweight: 3 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Evinger L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Justino L/AOpp accWomen's Featherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 62 / 131 47.3% 41.3% 120 / 414 29.0% 32.4%
In the clinch 25 / 41 61.0% 74.7% 23 / 37 62.2% 72.7%
On the ground 87 / 112 77.7% 74.2% 5 / 10 too few to rate 72.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 227 55.5% 38.1% 85 / 361 23.5% 26.3%
To the body 27 / 35 77.1% 73.2% 38 / 63 60.3% 60.3%
To the legs 21 / 22 too few to rate 80.9% 25 / 37 67.6% 67.6%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

222.2% acc · 0.99/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
360.0% acc · 0.69/15 · norm 1.18
266.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1588.2% def · norm 71.9%
7:3625.0% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
9:3314.7% of cage time · norm 24.0%
10:345:13 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
10:332:26 per 15 · norm 2:26
00.00/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Justino has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.