BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tony Kelley vs.
Ali AlQaisi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Tony Kelley · UFC
0-2-0 Ali AlQaisi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39
AgeΔ 4 yrs
35
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
49.6
Layoff (months)Δ 20.2 mo
69.8
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tony Kelley is a submission threat — 1.39 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Ali AlQaisi is a submission threat — 1.00 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Ali AlQaisi hunts takedowns — 3.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tony Kelley

Full career not yet synced for Tony Kelley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Ali AlQaisi

Full career not yet synced for Ali AlQaisi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2395.55/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
732.43/min · norm 3.52
2094.85/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
591.97/min · norm 3.58
47.2%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 43.4%
45.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
56.3%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tony Kelley

Distance 75.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 18.0% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 6.5%)

Ali AlQaisi

Distance 91.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tony Kelley

Head 62.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 27.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Ali AlQaisi

Head 74.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 16.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kelley L/AAccBantamweight med AlQaisi L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 144 / 381 37.8% 39.0% 63 / 157 40.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 72 / 91 79.1% 68.7% 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 23 / 34 67.6% 70.2% 1 / 3 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 112 / 317 35.3% 34.9% 40 / 128 31.2% 34.9%
To the body 89 / 141 63.1% 66.8% 10 / 15 too few to rate 66.8%
To the legs 38 / 48 79.2% 79.4% 23 / 29 79.3% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kelley L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs AlQaisi L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 165 / 334 49.4% 39.3% 49 / 120 40.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 36 / 39 92.3% 70.4% 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 8 / 11 too few to rate 72.4% 3 / 3 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 269 40.9% 34.9% 41 / 104 39.4% 34.9%
To the body 84 / 95 88.4% 66.0% 10 / 19 too few to rate 66.0%
To the legs 15 / 20 too few to rate 79.1% 8 / 12 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
729.2% acc · 3.50/15 · norm 1.12
1152.4% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
360.0% def · norm 66.7%
5:2412.5% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
7:5526.4% of cage time · norm 17.4%
13:424:46 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
2:581:29 per 15 · norm 2:24
41.39/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
21.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kelley has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.