BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tommy Speer vs.
Anthony Johnson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Tommy Speer · UFC
13-6-0 Anthony Johnson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
13-6-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
42.4
5'10"
HeightΔ 4"
6'2"
71"
ReachΔ 7"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
220.1
Layoff (months)Δ 108.2 mo
111.9
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Anthony Johnson carries real power — 1.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Tommy Speer absorbs 8.72 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Tommy Speer rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tommy Speer

Full career not yet synced for Tommy Speer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Anthony Johnson

Full career not yet synced for Anthony Johnson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

41.40/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3813.25/min · norm 3.17
258.72/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2151.83/min · norm 3.06
28.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.6%norm 44.9%
35.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.4%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
131.66/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tommy Speer

Distance 64.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 35.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

Anthony Johnson

Distance 69.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 19.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tommy Speer

Head 64.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 8.4%)

Anthony Johnson

Head 79.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Speer L/AAccWelterweight med Johnson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 9 too few to rate 38.6% 214 / 555 38.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 4 / 5 too few to rate 67.8% 67 / 93 72.0% 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2% 100 / 152 65.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 0 / 9 too few to rate 37.2% 255 / 639 39.9% 37.2%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 70.7% 57 / 77 74.0% 70.7%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 82.9% 69 / 84 82.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Speer L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Johnson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 9 / 19 too few to rate 39.0% 112 / 408 27.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 9 / 10 too few to rate 68.9% 45 / 64 70.3% 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 10 too few to rate 68.0% 58 / 71 81.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 32 59.4% 35.6% 133 / 409 32.5% 35.6%
To the body 5 / 6 too few to rate 69.6% 28 / 60 46.7% 69.6%
To the legs 1 / 1 too few to rate 82.1% 54 / 74 73.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1957.6% acc · 2.43/15 · norm 1.27
150.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2477.4% def · norm 63.9%
0:2816.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
43:2537.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
1:156:32 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
23:192:58 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.64/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.