BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tom Niinimaki vs.
Renato Moicano

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Tom Niinimaki · UFC
13-7-0 Renato Moicano · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
13-7-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 6.8 yrs
37.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
139.5
Layoff (months)Δ 135.5 mo
4
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tom Niinimaki owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Tom Niinimaki hunts takedowns — 2.97 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tom Niinimaki

Full career not yet synced for Tom Niinimaki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Renato Moicano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 137
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

581.91/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
7714.10/min · norm 3.42
702.31/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
6683.55/min · norm 3.37
54.7%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 43.5%
58.1%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.16/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tom Niinimaki

Distance 76.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 17.9% (norm 6.5%)

Renato Moicano

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tom Niinimaki

Head 56.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 24.5% (norm 7.8%)

Renato Moicano

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Niinimaki L/AAccFeatherweight med Moicano L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 39 / 81 48.1% 40.9% 636 / 1379 46.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.8% 25 / 33 75.8% 67.3%
On the ground 14 / 19 too few to rate 69.2% 110 / 155 71.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 60 31.7% 37.2% 563 / 1296 43.4% 35.0%
To the body 17 / 20 too few to rate 68.2% 75 / 114 65.8% 69.1%
To the legs 22 / 26 84.6% 80.7% 133 / 157 84.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Niinimaki L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Moicano L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 55 / 145 37.9% 39.2% 556 / 1502 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 6 / 10 too few to rate 70.3% 27 / 36 75.0% 68.6%
On the ground 9 / 12 too few to rate 69.4% 85 / 119 71.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 50 / 142 35.2% 35.9% 419 / 1331 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 5 / 10 too few to rate 67.9% 123 / 176 69.9% 68.1%
To the legs 15 / 15 too few to rate 81.5% 126 / 150 84.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 2.97/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
2140.4% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.38
233.3% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2764.3% def · norm 64.0%
12:4742.1% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
41:1121.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
5:572:56 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
24:421:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.49/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
70.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moicano has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.