BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tom Niinimaki vs.
Niklas Backstrom

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Tom Niinimaki · UFC
1-2-0 Niklas Backstrom · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
44
AgeΔ 7 yrs
37
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
69"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
139.5
Layoff (months)Δ 6 mo
133.5
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Niklas Backstrom is a submission threat — 2.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Tom Niinimaki owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Tom Niinimaki hunts takedowns — 2.97 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tom Niinimaki

Full career not yet synced for Tom Niinimaki — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Niklas Backstrom

Full career not yet synced for Niklas Backstrom — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

581.91/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
231.12/min · norm 3.54
702.31/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
753.65/min · norm 3.47
54.7%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 45.0%
58.1%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
40.5%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tom Niinimaki

Distance 76.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 17.9% (norm 6.5%)

Niklas Backstrom

Distance 76.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 16.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tom Niinimaki

Head 56.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 24.5% (norm 7.8%)

Niklas Backstrom

Head 65.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Niinimaki L/AAccFeatherweight med Backstrom L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 39 / 81 48.1% 40.9% 15 / 42 35.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.8% 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 14 / 19 too few to rate 69.2% 2 / 4 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 60 31.7% 37.2% 12 / 36 33.3% 37.2%
To the body 17 / 20 too few to rate 68.2% 6 / 14 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 22 / 26 84.6% 80.7% 5 / 5 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Niinimaki L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Backstrom L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 55 / 145 37.9% 39.2% 24 / 56 42.9% 39.2%
In the clinch 6 / 10 too few to rate 70.3% 28 / 37 75.7% 70.3%
On the ground 9 / 12 too few to rate 69.4% 23 / 33 69.7% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 50 / 142 35.2% 35.9% 57 / 102 55.9% 35.9%
To the body 5 / 10 too few to rate 67.9% 12 / 17 too few to rate 67.9%
To the legs 15 / 15 too few to rate 81.5% 6 / 7 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 2.97/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
480.0% acc · 2.92/15 · norm 1.19
233.3% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
872.7% def · norm 61.5%
12:4742.1% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
6:2130.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
5:572:56 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
7:005:06 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.49/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
32.19/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Niinimaki has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.