BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tom Breese vs.
Luiz Dutra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-3-0 Tom Breese · UFC
0-2-0 Luiz Dutra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-3-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34
AgeΔ 10 yrs
44
6'3"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
73"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
66.5
Layoff (months)Δ 67.7 mo
134.2
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tom Breese carries real power — 1.07 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Tom Breese is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Luiz Dutra rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tom Breese

Full career not yet synced for Tom Breese — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Luiz Dutra

Full career not yet synced for Luiz Dutra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1883.34/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
313.92/min · norm 3.17
1582.81/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
384.80/min · norm 3.06
50.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.8%norm 44.9%
60.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
41.5%norm 55.25%
41.07/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tom Breese

Distance 81.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 10.3%)

Luiz Dutra

Distance 70.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 29.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tom Breese

Head 76.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)

Luiz Dutra

Head 62.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 27.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Breese L/AAccMiddleweight med Dutra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 300 46.3% 40.5% 19 / 43 44.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 25 / 32 78.1% 70.3% 12 / 18 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 24 / 37 64.9% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 282 44.7% 38.9% 12 / 38 31.6% 37.2%
To the body 49 / 72 68.1% 71.7% 13 / 17 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 13 / 15 too few to rate 83.3% 6 / 6 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Breese L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Dutra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 98 / 311 31.5% 39.5% 15 / 34 44.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 19 / 29 65.5% 70.9% 16 / 20 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 41 / 60 68.3% 69.0% 7 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 105 / 320 32.8% 37.9% 20 / 42 47.6% 35.6%
To the body 31 / 47 66.0% 71.3% 11 / 15 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 22 / 33 66.7% 82.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
1270.6% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 63.9%
8:5515.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
0:459.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
14:193:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
1:543:36 per 15 · norm 3:15
41.07/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Breese has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.