BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tom Breese vs.
Brendan Allen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-3-0 Tom Breese · UFC
15-4-0 Brendan Allen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-3-0
UFC record
15-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34
AgeΔ 4 yrs
30
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
66.5
Layoff (months)Δ 64.5 mo
2
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tom Breese carries real power — 1.07 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Tom Breese is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tom Breese

Full career not yet synced for Tom Breese — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1883.34/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8343.74/min · norm 3.25
1582.81/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
8353.74/min · norm 3.20
50.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 47.4%
60.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.2%norm 53.8%
41.07/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.20/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tom Breese

Distance 81.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 10.3%)

Brendan Allen

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tom Breese

Head 76.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Breese L/AAccMiddleweight med Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 300 46.3% 40.5% 650 / 1328 48.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 25 / 32 78.1% 70.3% 56 / 86 65.1% 70.3%
On the ground 24 / 37 64.9% 69.1% 128 / 181 70.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 126 / 282 44.7% 38.9% 549 / 1260 43.6% 38.9%
To the body 49 / 72 68.1% 71.7% 172 / 215 80.0% 71.7%
To the legs 13 / 15 too few to rate 83.3% 113 / 120 94.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Breese L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 98 / 311 31.5% 39.5% 718 / 1449 49.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 19 / 29 65.5% 70.9% 48 / 66 72.7% 70.9%
On the ground 41 / 60 68.3% 69.0% 69 / 97 71.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 105 / 320 32.8% 37.9% 681 / 1410 48.3% 37.9%
To the body 31 / 47 66.0% 71.3% 112 / 151 74.2% 71.3%
To the legs 22 / 33 66.7% 82.1% 42 / 51 82.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2242.3% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.42
1270.6% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2455.8% def · norm 63.1%
8:5515.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
66:1229.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
14:193:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
50:553:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
41.07/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
151.01/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.