BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

TJ Waldburger vs.
Nick Catone

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 TJ Waldburger · UFC
4-4-0 Nick Catone · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38
AgeΔ 6 yrs
44
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
149.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
150.1
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

TJ Waldburger is a submission threat — 4.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Nick Catone hunts takedowns — 3.71 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
TJ Waldburger hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

TJ Waldburger

Full career not yet synced for TJ Waldburger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Nick Catone

Full career not yet synced for Nick Catone — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1202.02/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1962.11/min · norm 3.25
1422.39/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2162.32/min · norm 3.20
51.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 47.4%
40.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
63.2%norm 53.8%
20.50/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

TJ Waldburger

Distance 61.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 26.5% (norm 8.1%)

Nick Catone

Distance 64.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 18.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

TJ Waldburger

Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Nick Catone

Head 79.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waldburger L/AAccWelterweight med Catone L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 59 / 144 41.0% 38.6% 82 / 281 29.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 20 / 28 71.4% 67.8% 47 / 75 62.7% 70.3%
On the ground 41 / 62 66.1% 67.2% 67 / 83 80.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 183 41.5% 37.2% 125 / 349 35.8% 38.9%
To the body 20 / 23 too few to rate 70.7% 35 / 51 68.6% 71.7%
To the legs 24 / 28 85.7% 82.9% 36 / 39 92.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waldburger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Catone L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 46 / 115 40.0% 39.0% 126 / 461 27.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 35 / 50 70.0% 68.9% 66 / 92 71.7% 70.9%
On the ground 61 / 72 84.7% 68.0% 24 / 34 70.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 180 56.7% 35.6% 120 / 467 25.7% 37.9%
To the body 24 / 35 68.6% 69.6% 48 / 67 71.6% 71.3%
To the legs 16 / 22 too few to rate 82.1% 48 / 53 90.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1246.2% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2344.2% acc · 3.71/15 · norm 1.42
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2083.3% def · norm 63.1%
20:5335.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
33:4236.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:284:24 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
8:501:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
194.79/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.48/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waldburger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.