TJ Waldburger vs.
Brian Ebersole
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
TJ Waldburger
Full career not yet synced for TJ Waldburger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500
Brian Ebersole
Full career not yet synced for Brian Ebersole — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
TJ Waldburger
Distance 61.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 26.5% (norm 8.1%)
Brian Ebersole
Distance 71.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
TJ Waldburger
Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)
Brian Ebersole
Head 67.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 17.7% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Waldburger L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Ebersole L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 59 / 144 | 41.0% | 38.6% | 142 / 352 | 40.3% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 20 / 28 | 71.4% | 67.8% | 42 / 64 | 65.6% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 41 / 62 | 66.1% | 67.2% | 57 / 76 | 75.0% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 76 / 183 | 41.5% | 37.2% | 142 / 331 | 42.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 20 / 23 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 40 / 74 | 54.1% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 24 / 28 | 85.7% | 82.9% | 59 / 87 | 67.8% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Waldburger L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Ebersole L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 46 / 115 | 40.0% | 39.0% | 156 / 421 | 37.1% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 35 / 50 | 70.0% | 68.9% | 70 / 112 | 62.5% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 61 / 72 | 84.7% | 68.0% | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 102 / 180 | 56.7% | 35.6% | 122 / 386 | 31.6% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 24 / 35 | 68.6% | 69.6% | 77 / 110 | 70.0% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 16 / 22 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 36 / 47 | 76.6% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waldburger has more cage time on record.