BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

TJ Waldburger vs.
Adlan Amagov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 TJ Waldburger · UFC
2-0-0 Adlan Amagov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
2-0-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
149.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
153.5
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

TJ Waldburger is a submission threat — 4.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Adlan Amagov hunts takedowns — 5.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
TJ Waldburger hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

TJ Waldburger

Full career not yet synced for TJ Waldburger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Adlan Amagov

Full career not yet synced for Adlan Amagov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1202.02/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
532.94/min · norm 3.17
1422.39/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
90.50/min · norm 3.06
51.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.9%
40.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
86.6%norm 55.25%
20.50/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.83/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

TJ Waldburger

Distance 61.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 26.5% (norm 8.1%)

Adlan Amagov

Distance 69.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 12.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

TJ Waldburger

Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Adlan Amagov

Head 56.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 31.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waldburger L/AAccWelterweight med Amagov L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 59 / 144 41.0% 38.6% 29 / 87 33.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 20 / 28 71.4% 67.8% 15 / 23 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 41 / 62 66.1% 67.2% 9 / 15 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 183 41.5% 37.2% 22 / 71 31.0% 37.2%
To the body 20 / 23 too few to rate 70.7% 8 / 15 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 24 / 28 85.7% 82.9% 23 / 39 59.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waldburger L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Amagov L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 46 / 115 40.0% 39.0% 7 / 62 11.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 35 / 50 70.0% 68.9% 2 / 5 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 61 / 72 84.7% 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 180 56.7% 35.6% 1 / 48 2.1% 35.6%
To the body 24 / 35 68.6% 69.6% 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 16 / 22 too few to rate 82.1% 6 / 14 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1246.2% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
654.5% acc · 5.00/15 · norm 1.27
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3100.0% def · norm 63.9%
20:5335.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
4:3425.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
17:284:24 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
0:380:31 per 15 · norm 3:15
194.79/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waldburger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.