BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

TJ Grant vs.
Shane Roller

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-3-0 TJ Grant · UFC
2-4-0 Shane Roller · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-3-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42.4
AgeΔ 4.7 yrs
47.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
158.4
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
166
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Shane Roller is wasteful with body shots — only 39% land, vs a 69% Lightweight norm.
TJ Grant's takedown defense leaks — 37% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

TJ Grant

Full career not yet synced for TJ Grant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Shane Roller

Full career not yet synced for Shane Roller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5103.95/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1242.32/min · norm 3.42
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1703.18/min · norm 3.37
54.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
35.7%norm 43.5%
56.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
50.58/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.28/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

Shane Roller

Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Shane Roller

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grant L/AAccWelterweight med Roller L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6% 79 / 294 26.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8% 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2% 36 / 40 90.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2% 93 / 294 31.6% 35.0%
To the body 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7% 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1%
To the legs 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9% 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Roller L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0% 123 / 369 33.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9% 29 / 36 80.6% 68.6%
On the ground 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0% 18 / 35 51.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6% 122 / 369 33.1% 35.1%
To the body 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6% 23 / 41 56.1% 68.1%
To the legs 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1% 25 / 30 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
521.7% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
444.4% def · norm 64.0%
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
14:4927.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
13:253:45 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.58/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.56/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grant has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.