BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

TJ Grant vs.
Julio Paulino

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-3-0 TJ Grant · UFC
0-2-0 Julio Paulino · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-3-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42.4
AgeΔ 8.3 yrs
50.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
72"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
158.4
Layoff (months)Δ 31.9 mo
190.3
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julio Paulino rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Julio Paulino is wasteful with head shots — only 20% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

TJ Grant

Full career not yet synced for TJ Grant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Julio Paulino

Full career not yet synced for Julio Paulino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5103.95/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
290.97/min · norm 3.17
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
561.87/min · norm 3.06
54.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
27.9%norm 44.9%
56.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
48.6%norm 55.25%
50.58/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

Julio Paulino

Distance 77.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Julio Paulino

Head 76.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grant L/AAccWelterweight med Paulino L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6% 18 / 81 22.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8% 7 / 16 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2% 4 / 7 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2% 16 / 79 20.3% 37.2%
To the body 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7% 11 / 18 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9% 2 / 7 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Paulino L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0% 17 / 43 39.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9% 8 / 20 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0% 31 / 46 67.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6% 38 / 82 46.3% 35.6%
To the body 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6% 9 / 16 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1% 9 / 11 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
637.5% def · norm 63.9%
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:1310.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:3410:17 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.58/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.50/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grant has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.