BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

TJ Grant vs.
Evan Dunham

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-3-0 TJ Grant · UFC
11-9-1 Evan Dunham · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-3-0
UFC record
11-9-1
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42.4
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
44.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
158.4
Layoff (months)Δ 84.4 mo
74
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLDW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Evan Dunham is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Evan Dunham outworks the Lightweight division — 5.33 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
TJ Grant carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

TJ Grant

Full career not yet synced for TJ Grant — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Evan Dunham

Full career not yet synced for Evan Dunham — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5103.95/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
12285.33/min · norm 3.42
4153.21/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
8163.54/min · norm 3.37
54.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.3%norm 43.5%
56.9%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.7%norm 56.3%
50.58/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

TJ Grant

Distance 70.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.1%)

Evan Dunham

Distance 89.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

TJ Grant

Head 73.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Evan Dunham

Head 91.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grant L/AAccWelterweight med Dunham L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 315 / 663 47.5% 38.6% 1024 / 2811 36.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 141 / 196 71.9% 67.8% 142 / 218 65.1% 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 85 63.5% 67.2% 62 / 99 62.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 298 / 693 43.0% 37.2% 1039 / 2849 36.5% 35.0%
To the body 154 / 187 82.4% 70.7% 137 / 221 62.0% 69.1%
To the legs 58 / 64 90.6% 82.9% 52 / 58 89.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grant L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Dunham L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 285 / 723 39.4% 39.0% 639 / 1840 34.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 32 / 59 54.2% 68.9% 122 / 202 60.4% 68.6%
On the ground 98 / 180 54.4% 68.0% 55 / 87 63.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 323 / 836 38.6% 35.6% 557 / 1767 31.5% 35.1%
To the body 43 / 71 60.6% 69.6% 160 / 232 69.0% 68.1%
To the legs 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1% 99 / 130 76.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1443.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2833.3% acc · 1.82/15 · norm 1.38
1436.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
5979.7% def · norm 64.0%
32:0724.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
52:2122.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
47:295:30 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
27:521:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.58/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
150.98/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dunham has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.