BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tim Boetsch vs.
Josh Samman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-12-0 Tim Boetsch · UFC
3-2-0 Josh Samman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-12-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45
AgeΔ 7 yrs
38
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
89
Layoff (months)Δ 31.8 mo
120.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Samman carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Opponents land 64% of their head shots on Josh Samman, vs a 38% Middleweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Tim Boetsch is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tim Boetsch

Full career not yet synced for Tim Boetsch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Josh Samman

Full career not yet synced for Josh Samman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6352.93/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
862.08/min · norm 3.25
6292.90/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1022.47/min · norm 3.20
50.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 47.4%
57.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
34.6%norm 53.8%
70.48/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.73/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tim Boetsch

Distance 73.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

Josh Samman

Distance 47.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 38.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tim Boetsch

Head 71.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Josh Samman

Head 56.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 33.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Boetsch L/AAccMiddleweight med Samman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 397 / 920 43.2% 40.5% 36 / 77 46.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 161 / 234 68.8% 70.3% 36 / 62 58.1% 70.3%
On the ground 77 / 99 77.8% 69.1% 14 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 364 / 891 40.9% 38.9% 34 / 92 37.0% 38.9%
To the body 161 / 233 69.1% 71.7% 35 / 54 64.8% 71.7%
To the legs 110 / 129 85.3% 83.3% 17 / 17 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Boetsch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Samman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 331 / 1011 32.7% 39.5% 13 / 38 34.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 148 / 236 62.7% 70.9% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 150 / 220 68.2% 69.0% 75 / 100 75.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 373 / 1137 32.8% 37.9% 84 / 132 63.6% 37.9%
To the body 159 / 208 76.4% 71.3% 17 / 22 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 97 / 122 79.5% 82.1% 1 / 2 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2134.4% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
333.3% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.42
3259.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
333.3% def · norm 63.1%
31:3414.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
12:1229.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
61:284:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
21:247:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
110.76/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.36/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Boetsch has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.