BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tim Boetsch vs.
Brad Tavares

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-12-0 Tim Boetsch · UFC
16-12-0 Brad Tavares · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-12-0
UFC record
16-12-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45.5
AgeΔ 6.9 yrs
38.6
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
88.9
Layoff (months)Δ 84.1 mo
4.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tim Boetsch is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Brad Tavares rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Tim Boetsch carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tim Boetsch

Full career not yet synced for Tim Boetsch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Brad Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1612
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6352.93/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12433.41/min · norm 3.25
6292.90/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12093.32/min · norm 3.20
50.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 47.4%
57.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 53.8%
70.48/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
50.21/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tim Boetsch

Distance 73.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 18.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

Brad Tavares

Distance 89.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tim Boetsch

Head 71.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Brad Tavares

Head 76.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Boetsch L/AAccMiddleweight med Tavares L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 397 / 920 43.2% 40.5% 1049 / 2548 41.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 161 / 234 68.8% 70.3% 150 / 231 64.9% 70.3%
On the ground 77 / 99 77.8% 69.1% 44 / 65 67.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 364 / 891 40.9% 38.9% 738 / 2171 34.0% 38.9%
To the body 161 / 233 69.1% 71.7% 213 / 327 65.1% 71.7%
To the legs 110 / 129 85.3% 83.3% 292 / 346 84.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Boetsch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Tavares L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 331 / 1011 32.7% 39.5% 940 / 2281 41.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 148 / 236 62.7% 70.9% 201 / 317 63.4% 70.9%
On the ground 150 / 220 68.2% 69.0% 68 / 84 81.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 373 / 1137 32.8% 37.9% 769 / 2047 37.6% 37.9%
To the body 159 / 208 76.4% 71.3% 190 / 305 62.3% 71.3%
To the legs 97 / 122 79.5% 82.1% 250 / 330 75.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2134.4% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1726.6% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.42
3259.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
11480.3% def · norm 63.1%
31:3414.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
46:3812.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
61:284:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
80:143:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
110.76/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.