BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thibault Gouti vs.
Teemu Packalen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-5-0 Thibault Gouti · UFC
1-3-0 Teemu Packalen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-5-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39.4
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
39.2
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
93.3
Layoff (months)Δ 10.3 mo
83
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Teemu Packalen is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Teemu Packalen carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Thibault Gouti absorbs 5.64 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thibault Gouti

Full career not yet synced for Thibault Gouti — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Teemu Packalen

Full career not yet synced for Teemu Packalen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1803.68/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
502.57/min · norm 3.42
2765.64/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
763.91/min · norm 3.37
34.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.3%norm 43.5%
50.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
47.9%norm 56.3%
10.31/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.77/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thibault Gouti

Distance 89.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Teemu Packalen

Distance 73.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thibault Gouti

Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 7.9%)

Teemu Packalen

Head 83.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gouti L/AAccLightweight med Packalen L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 145 / 466 31.1% 37.9% 34 / 68 50.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 17 / 33 51.5% 67.3% 5 / 7 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 18 / 23 too few to rate 69.1% 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 140 / 455 30.8% 35.0% 37 / 77 48.1% 35.0%
To the body 22 / 40 55.0% 69.1% 12 / 13 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 18 / 27 66.7% 81.9% 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gouti L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Packalen L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 178 / 405 44.0% 38.9% 56 / 117 47.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 30 / 47 63.8% 68.6% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 68 / 103 66.0% 68.0% 12 / 18 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 202 / 455 44.4% 35.1% 48 / 109 44.0% 35.1%
To the body 48 / 70 68.6% 68.1% 14 / 20 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 26 / 30 86.7% 81.5% 14 / 17 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

480.0% acc · 1.23/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
325.0% acc · 2.31/15 · norm 1.38
2083.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.0%
7:0814.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:2417.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
13:044:00 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
7:065:28 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.31/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
21.54/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gouti has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.