Thibault Gouti vs.
Sage Northcutt
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Thibault Gouti
Full career not yet synced for Thibault Gouti — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Sage Northcutt
Full career not yet synced for Sage Northcutt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Thibault Gouti
Distance 89.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 8.0%)
Sage Northcutt
Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Thibault Gouti
Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 7.9%)
Sage Northcutt
Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Gouti L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Northcutt L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 145 / 466 | 31.1% | 37.9% | 162 / 381 | 42.5% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 17 / 33 | 51.5% | 67.3% | 51 / 63 | 81.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 18 / 23 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 54 / 66 | 81.8% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 140 / 455 | 30.8% | 35.0% | 173 / 390 | 44.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 22 / 40 | 55.0% | 69.1% | 52 / 70 | 74.3% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 18 / 27 | 66.7% | 81.9% | 42 / 50 | 84.0% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Gouti L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Northcutt L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 178 / 405 | 44.0% | 38.9% | 107 / 296 | 36.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 30 / 47 | 63.8% | 68.6% | 6 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 68 / 103 | 66.0% | 68.0% | 33 / 48 | 68.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 202 / 455 | 44.4% | 35.1% | 87 / 262 | 33.2% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 48 / 70 | 68.6% | 68.1% | 15 / 31 | 48.4% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 26 / 30 | 86.7% | 81.5% | 44 / 63 | 69.8% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Northcutt has more cage time on record.