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Thiago Tavares vs. Shane Roller

UFC 10-7-1 vs. 2-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-7-1
UFC record
2-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 6 yrs
47
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
123.4
Layoff (months)Δ 45.1 mo
168.5
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares hunts takedowns — 3.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Shane Roller owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Thiago Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Shane Roller

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.35 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3292.00/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
1242.32/min · norm 3.44
3792.31/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1703.18/min · norm 3.38
40.1%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
35.7%norm 43.65%
62.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
61.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.28/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Shane Roller

Distance 84.7% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

Shane Roller

Head 84.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccLightweight med Roller L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 618 33.8% 38.3% 79 / 294 26.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 67.5% 9 / 13 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 90 / 149 60.4% 68.8% 36 / 40 90.0% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 680 33.7% 35.1% 93 / 294 31.6% 35.1%
To the body 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1% 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.8% 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Roller L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 224 / 783 28.6% 38.8% 123 / 369 33.3% 38.8%
In the clinch 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6% 29 / 36 80.6% 68.6%
On the ground 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0% 18 / 35 51.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 834 29.1% 35.2% 122 / 369 33.1% 35.2%
To the body 69 / 102 67.6% 68.2% 23 / 41 56.1% 68.2%
To the legs 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5% 25 / 30 83.3% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
521.7% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.34
2262.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
444.4% def · norm 63.7%
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
14:4927.7% of cage time · norm 18.95%
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
13:253:45 per 15 · norm 2:50
161.46/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
20.56/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.