Thiago Tavares vs.
Shane Roller
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Thiago Tavares
Full career not yet synced for Thiago Tavares — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Shane Roller
Full career not yet synced for Shane Roller — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Thiago Tavares
Distance 75.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)
Shane Roller
Distance 84.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Thiago Tavares
Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.9%)
Shane Roller
Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.8% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Tavares L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Roller L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 209 / 618 | 33.8% | 37.9% | 79 / 294 | 26.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 30 / 53 | 56.6% | 67.3% | 9 / 13 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 90 / 149 | 60.4% | 69.1% | 36 / 40 | 90.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 229 / 680 | 33.7% | 35.0% | 93 / 294 | 31.6% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 76 / 106 | 71.7% | 69.1% | 13 / 33 | 39.4% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 81.9% | 18 / 20 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Tavares L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Roller L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 224 / 783 | 28.6% | 38.9% | 123 / 369 | 33.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 59 / 97 | 60.8% | 68.6% | 29 / 36 | 80.6% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 96 / 139 | 69.1% | 68.0% | 18 / 35 | 51.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 243 / 834 | 29.1% | 35.1% | 122 / 369 | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 69 / 102 | 67.6% | 68.1% | 23 / 41 | 56.1% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 67 / 83 | 80.7% | 81.5% | 25 / 30 | 83.3% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.