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Thiago Tavares vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov

UFC 10-7-1 vs. 13-0-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-7-1
UFC record
13-0-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 3 yrs
38
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
123.4
Layoff (months)Δ 51.6 mo
71.8
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Khabib Nurmagomedov hunts takedowns — 5.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Khabib Nurmagomedov owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Thiago Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 130
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.02 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3292.00/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
7054.10/min · norm 3.44
3792.31/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3011.75/min · norm 3.38
40.1%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
48.8%norm 43.65%
62.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.17/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Distance 61.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 36.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Head 91.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccLightweight med Nurmagomedov L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 618 33.8% 38.3% 298 / 883 33.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 67.5% 27 / 40 67.5% 67.5%
On the ground 90 / 149 60.4% 68.8% 380 / 521 72.9% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 680 33.7% 35.1% 604 / 1318 45.8% 35.1%
To the body 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1% 65 / 87 74.7% 69.1%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.8% 36 / 39 92.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 224 / 783 28.6% 38.8% 260 / 822 31.6% 38.8%
In the clinch 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6% 30 / 35 85.7% 68.6%
On the ground 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0% 11 / 13 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 834 29.1% 35.2% 167 / 661 25.3% 35.2%
To the body 69 / 102 67.6% 68.2% 88 / 155 56.8% 68.2%
To the legs 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5% 46 / 54 85.2% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
6148.0% acc · 5.32/15 · norm 1.34
2262.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1184.6% def · norm 63.7%
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
94:4155.1% of cage time · norm 18.95%
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
2:330:13 per 15 · norm 2:50
161.46/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
90.79/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.