BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Tavares vs.
Justin Salas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-7-1 Thiago Tavares · UFC
3-4-0 Justin Salas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-7-1
UFC record
3-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41.7
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
44.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
120.9
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
125
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares hunts takedowns — 3.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Justin Salas's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Tavares

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Tavares — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Justin Salas

Full career not yet synced for Justin Salas — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3292.00/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1693.42/min · norm 3.42
3792.31/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1462.96/min · norm 3.37
40.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.2%norm 43.5%
62.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.9%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.30/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Justin Salas

Distance 81.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.9%)

Justin Salas

Head 74.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccLightweight med Salas L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 618 33.8% 37.9% 113 / 319 35.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 67.3% 35 / 46 76.1% 67.3%
On the ground 90 / 149 60.4% 69.1% 21 / 26 80.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 680 33.7% 35.0% 97 / 290 33.4% 35.0%
To the body 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1% 34 / 48 70.8% 69.1%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.9% 38 / 53 71.7% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Salas L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 224 / 783 28.6% 38.9% 86 / 382 22.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6% 25 / 35 71.4% 68.6%
On the ground 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0% 35 / 53 66.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 834 29.1% 35.1% 97 / 375 25.9% 35.1%
To the body 69 / 102 67.6% 68.1% 35 / 72 48.6% 68.1%
To the legs 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5% 14 / 23 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
820.5% acc · 2.43/15 · norm 1.38
2262.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
7:0014.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
4:061:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
161.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.