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Thiago Tavares vs. Jason Black

UFC 10-7-1 vs. 0-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-7-1
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 13 yrs
54
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
Reach
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
123.4
Layoff (months)Δ 104.6 mo
228
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jason Black is a submission threat — 5.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares hunts takedowns — 3.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Thiago Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Jason Black

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 02
Tier 3 — regional circuit 232

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3292.00/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
100.44/min · norm 3.44
3792.31/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
552.41/min · norm 3.38
40.1%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
41.7%norm 43.65%
62.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
39.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Black

Distance 58.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 16.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 25.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Black

Head 79.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccLightweight med Black L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 618 33.8% 38.3% 2 / 14 too few to rate 38.3%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 67.5% 3 / 4 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 90 / 149 60.4% 68.8% 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 680 33.7% 35.1% 7 / 19 too few to rate 35.1%
To the body 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1% 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Black L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 224 / 783 28.6% 38.8% 10 / 19 too few to rate 38.8%
In the clinch 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6% 5 / 5 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0% 40 / 67 59.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 834 29.1% 35.2% 48 / 83 57.8% 35.2%
To the body 69 / 102 67.6% 68.2% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5% 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.34
2262.9% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 63.7%
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
2:069.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
17:4611:40 per 15 · norm 2:50
161.46/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
95.92/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.