BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Tavares vs.
Brian Ortega

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-7-1 Thiago Tavares · UFC
8-5-0 (1 NC) Brian Ortega · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-7-1
UFC record
8-5-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
41.7
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
35.5
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
120.9
Layoff (months)Δ 109.5 mo
11.4
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares hunts takedowns — 3.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Brian Ortega is a submission threat — 0.93 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Tavares

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Tavares — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Brian Ortega

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.34 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3292.00/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7423.84/min · norm 3.54
3792.31/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
12336.38/min · norm 3.47
40.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
37.3%norm 45.0%
62.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.3%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.39/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

Brian Ortega

Distance 94.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.9%)

Brian Ortega

Head 85.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccLightweight med Ortega L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 618 33.8% 37.9% 657 / 1868 35.2% 40.9%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 67.3% 49 / 65 75.4% 70.8%
On the ground 90 / 149 60.4% 69.1% 36 / 54 66.7% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 680 33.7% 35.0% 528 / 1704 31.0% 37.2%
To the body 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1% 136 / 187 72.7% 68.2%
To the legs 24 / 34 70.6% 81.9% 78 / 96 81.2% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ortega L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 224 / 783 28.6% 38.9% 1063 / 2176 48.9% 39.2%
In the clinch 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6% 44 / 57 77.2% 70.3%
On the ground 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0% 126 / 198 63.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 243 / 834 29.1% 35.1% 875 / 1998 43.8% 35.9%
To the body 69 / 102 67.6% 68.1% 185 / 242 76.4% 67.9%
To the legs 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5% 173 / 191 90.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1225.0% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.19
2262.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1854.5% def · norm 61.5%
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
16:388.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
22:061:42 per 15 · norm 3:12
161.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
120.93/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.