BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Silva vs.
Rafael Cavalcante

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-3-0 (2 NC) Thiago Silva · UFC
1-4-0 Rafael Cavalcante · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-3-0 (2 NC)
UFC record
1-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
43.7
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
46.3
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
153.9
Layoff (months)Δ 27.9 mo
126
WWNCLNC
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Silva is a submission threat — 0.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rafael Cavalcante rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Thiago Silva carries real power — 0.61 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Silva

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Silva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Rafael Cavalcante

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Cavalcante — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4124.16/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
831.78/min · norm 3.41
2993.02/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1994.28/min · norm 3.35
48.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 48.3%
67.3%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
47.5%norm 52.9%
40.61/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.32/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Silva

Distance 67.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.4%)

Rafael Cavalcante

Distance 80.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Silva

Head 71.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 15.4% (norm 9.7%)

Rafael Cavalcante

Head 87.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Silva L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Cavalcante L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 569 42.2% 41.4% 56 / 149 37.6% 41.4%
In the clinch 89 / 147 60.5% 70.9% 16 / 24 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 83 / 133 62.4% 72.3% 11 / 13 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 229 / 604 37.9% 38.9% 68 / 162 42.0% 38.9%
To the body 79 / 114 69.3% 71.9% 7 / 11 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 104 / 131 79.4% 81.8% 8 / 13 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Silva L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Cavalcante L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 227 / 784 29.0% 40.4% 92 / 233 39.5% 40.4%
In the clinch 54 / 98 55.1% 68.7% 27 / 38 71.1% 68.7%
On the ground 18 / 31 58.1% 70.4% 80 / 108 74.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 759 24.0% 37.5% 131 / 292 44.9% 37.5%
To the body 44 / 66 66.7% 72.3% 32 / 47 68.1% 72.3%
To the legs 73 / 88 83.0% 83.0% 36 / 40 90.0% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 0.91/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
2660.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1751.5% def · norm 66.7%
20:1020.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
0:361.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
20:283:05 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
23:007:24 per 15 · norm 2:48
40.61/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Silva has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.