BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Santos vs.
Jack Hermansson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-10-0 Thiago Santos · UFC
11-8-0 Jack Hermansson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-10-0
UFC record
11-8-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42.6
AgeΔ 4.4 yrs
38.2
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
48
Layoff (months)Δ 39.6 mo
8.4
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Santos carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Jack Hermansson outworks the Middleweight division — 5.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Thiago Santos rarely shoots — 0.88 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Santos

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Santos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Jack Hermansson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8883.72/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
10485.15/min · norm 3.25
6142.57/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
7573.72/min · norm 3.20
48.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
45.3%norm 47.4%
53.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 53.8%
140.88/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Santos

Distance 69.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 10.3%)

Jack Hermansson

Distance 86.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Santos

Head 65.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 8.4%)

Jack Hermansson

Head 73.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Santos L/AAccMiddleweight med Hermansson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 512 / 1285 39.8% 40.5% 812 / 1997 40.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 150 / 181 82.9% 70.3% 77 / 104 74.0% 70.3%
On the ground 226 / 378 59.8% 69.1% 159 / 215 74.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 455 / 1216 37.4% 38.9% 591 / 1703 34.7% 38.9%
To the body 204 / 309 66.0% 71.7% 208 / 316 65.8% 71.7%
To the legs 229 / 319 71.8% 83.3% 249 / 297 83.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Santos L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Hermansson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 417 / 1085 38.4% 39.5% 655 / 1614 40.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 87 / 110 79.1% 70.9% 44 / 64 68.8% 70.9%
On the ground 110 / 138 79.7% 69.0% 58 / 82 70.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 330 / 914 36.1% 37.9% 544 / 1453 37.4% 37.9%
To the body 141 / 215 65.6% 71.3% 169 / 243 69.5% 71.3%
To the legs 143 / 204 70.1% 82.1% 44 / 64 68.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1433.3% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2029.9% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.42
3865.5% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2180.8% def · norm 63.1%
31:3813.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
35:0317.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
39:232:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
21:371:35 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
50.37/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.