Thiago Moises vs.
Kurt Holobaugh
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Thiago Moises
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 8 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 5 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500
Kurt Holobaugh
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 2 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 20 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Thiago Moises
Distance 86.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)
Kurt Holobaugh
Distance 86.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Thiago Moises
Head 77.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 7.9%)
Kurt Holobaugh
Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Moises L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Holobaugh L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 326 / 882 | 37.0% | 37.9% | 357 / 880 | 40.6% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 25 / 36 | 69.4% | 67.3% | 75 / 104 | 72.1% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 82 / 102 | 80.4% | 69.1% | 24 / 30 | 80.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 274 / 795 | 34.5% | 35.0% | 283 / 784 | 36.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 56 / 93 | 60.2% | 69.1% | 113 / 153 | 73.9% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 103 / 132 | 78.0% | 81.9% | 60 / 77 | 77.9% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Moises L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Holobaugh L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 605 / 1372 | 44.1% | 38.9% | 292 / 648 | 45.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 78 / 106 | 73.6% | 68.6% | 72 / 102 | 70.6% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 124 / 223 | 55.6% | 68.0% | 79 / 110 | 71.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 344 / 1119 | 30.7% | 35.1% | 329 / 717 | 45.9% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 256 / 352 | 72.7% | 68.1% | 80 / 103 | 77.7% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 207 / 230 | 90.0% | 81.5% | 34 / 40 | 85.0% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moises has more cage time on record.