BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Alves vs.
Tim Means

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-12-0 Thiago Alves · UFC
15-14-0 (1 NC) Tim Means · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-12-0
UFC record
15-14-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42.8
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
42.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 5"
6'2"
70"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80
Layoff (months)Δ 58 mo
22
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Alves carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Tim Means outworks the Welterweight division — 5.04 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Tim Means carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Alves

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Alves — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Tim Means

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1514
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 52 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11063.73/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
14575.04/min · norm 3.17
10153.42/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10553.65/min · norm 3.06
41.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 44.9%
62.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 55.25%
130.66/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
110.57/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Alves

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

Tim Means

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Alves

Head 73.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 8.4%)

Tim Means

Head 74.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alves L/AAccWelterweight med Means L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 867 / 2227 38.9% 38.6% 1116 / 2495 44.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 126 / 208 60.6% 67.8% 202 / 270 74.8% 67.8%
On the ground 113 / 213 53.1% 67.2% 139 / 203 68.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 569 / 1953 29.1% 37.2% 885 / 2197 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 150 / 200 75.0% 70.7% 409 / 594 68.9% 70.7%
To the legs 387 / 495 78.2% 82.9% 163 / 177 92.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Means L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 731 / 2283 32.0% 39.0% 899 / 2384 37.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 159 / 251 63.3% 68.9% 102 / 162 63.0% 68.9%
On the ground 125 / 174 71.8% 68.0% 54 / 107 50.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 649 / 2203 29.5% 35.6% 733 / 2171 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 218 / 312 69.9% 69.6% 191 / 323 59.1% 69.6%
To the legs 148 / 193 76.7% 82.1% 131 / 159 82.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1460.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2240.0% acc · 1.14/15 · norm 1.27
7763.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6864.8% def · norm 63.9%
30:5610.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
41:1114.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
76:113:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
44:322:18 per 15 · norm 3:15
60.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.16/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Means has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.