BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thiago Alves vs.
Papy Abedi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-12-0 Thiago Alves · UFC
1-3-0 Papy Abedi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-12-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42.8
AgeΔ 5.3 yrs
48.1
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
70"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
80
Layoff (months)Δ 75.3 mo
155.3
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Papy Abedi is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Papy Abedi hunts takedowns — 3.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Thiago Alves carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thiago Alves

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Alves — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Papy Abedi

Full career not yet synced for Papy Abedi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11063.73/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
972.80/min · norm 3.17
10153.42/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1093.15/min · norm 3.06
41.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
55.1%norm 44.9%
62.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
48.6%norm 55.25%
130.66/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thiago Alves

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

Papy Abedi

Distance 54.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 24.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 21.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thiago Alves

Head 73.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 8.4%)

Papy Abedi

Head 59.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 31.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alves L/AAccWelterweight med Abedi L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 867 / 2227 38.9% 38.6% 36 / 95 37.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 126 / 208 60.6% 67.8% 34 / 43 79.1% 67.8%
On the ground 113 / 213 53.1% 67.2% 27 / 38 71.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 569 / 1953 29.1% 37.2% 42 / 104 40.4% 37.2%
To the body 150 / 200 75.0% 70.7% 46 / 55 83.6% 70.7%
To the legs 387 / 495 78.2% 82.9% 9 / 17 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Abedi L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 731 / 2283 32.0% 39.0% 42 / 112 37.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 159 / 251 63.3% 68.9% 49 / 76 64.5% 68.9%
On the ground 125 / 174 71.8% 68.0% 18 / 24 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 649 / 2203 29.5% 35.6% 67 / 161 41.6% 35.6%
To the body 218 / 312 69.9% 69.6% 30 / 33 90.9% 69.6%
To the legs 148 / 193 76.7% 82.1% 12 / 18 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1460.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
857.1% acc · 3.47/15 · norm 1.27
7763.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
450.0% def · norm 63.9%
30:5610.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
13:2738.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
76:113:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
6:502:57 per 15 · norm 3:15
60.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
31.30/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.