BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Thales Leites vs.
Ed Herman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-8-0 Thales Leites · UFC
13-12-0 (1 NC) Ed Herman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-8-0
UFC record
13-12-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44.9
AgeΔ 0.9 yrs
45.8
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
94.4
Layoff (months)Δ 54.7 mo
39.7
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thales Leites is a submission threat — 1.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Ed Herman is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Thales Leites owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Thales Leites

Full career not yet synced for Thales Leites — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Ed Herman

Full career not yet synced for Ed Herman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5622.13/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8513.31/min · norm 3.25
7902.99/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
9513.70/min · norm 3.20
40.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
48.8%norm 47.4%
53.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
42.4%norm 53.8%
40.23/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
40.23/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Thales Leites

Distance 80.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 12.5% (norm 10.3%)

Ed Herman

Distance 65.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 19.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Thales Leites

Head 83.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 6.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Ed Herman

Head 78.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Leites L/AAccMiddleweight med Herman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 383 / 1109 34.5% 40.5% 423 / 1134 37.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 60 / 105 57.1% 70.3% 237 / 336 70.5% 70.3%
On the ground 119 / 173 68.8% 69.1% 191 / 274 69.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 387 / 1162 33.3% 38.9% 536 / 1363 39.3% 38.9%
To the body 57 / 93 61.3% 71.7% 214 / 262 81.7% 71.7%
To the legs 118 / 132 89.4% 83.3% 101 / 119 84.9% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Leites L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Herman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 584 / 1395 41.9% 39.5% 612 / 1191 51.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 92 / 130 70.8% 70.9% 189 / 239 79.1% 70.9%
On the ground 114 / 155 73.5% 69.0% 150 / 222 67.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 497 / 1321 37.6% 37.9% 631 / 1266 49.8% 37.9%
To the body 89 / 129 69.0% 71.3% 172 / 222 77.5% 71.3%
To the legs 204 / 230 88.7% 82.1% 148 / 164 90.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3727.4% acc · 2.10/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3447.9% acc · 1.99/15 · norm 1.42
430.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3861.3% def · norm 63.1%
79:0129.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
70:1827.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
35:332:01 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
75:064:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
201.14/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
170.99/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.