Terrance McKinney vs.
Mike Breeden
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Terrance McKinney
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 7 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 8 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
Mike Breeden
Full career not yet synced for Mike Breeden — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Terrance McKinney
Distance 60.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 30.8% (norm 8.0%)
Mike Breeden
Distance 92.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Terrance McKinney
Head 90.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.2% (norm 7.9%)
Mike Breeden
Head 81.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | McKinney L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Breeden L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 128 / 297 | 43.1% | 37.9% | 184 / 378 | 48.7% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 32 / 43 | 74.4% | 67.3% | 16 / 25 | 64.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 114 / 151 | 75.5% | 69.1% | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 239 / 444 | 53.8% | 35.0% | 143 / 332 | 43.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 35 / 46 | 76.1% | 69.1% | 51 / 65 | 78.5% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 81.9% | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs McKinney L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Breeden L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 104 / 201 | 51.7% | 38.9% | 207 / 361 | 57.3% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 19 / 24 | too few to rate | 68.6% | 27 / 44 | 61.4% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 41 / 56 | 73.2% | 68.0% | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 102 / 203 | 50.2% | 35.1% | 169 / 325 | 52.0% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 44 / 56 | 78.6% | 68.1% | 57 / 72 | 79.2% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 18 / 22 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 19 / 20 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — McKinney has more cage time on record.