BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Teemu Packalen vs.
Ottman Azaitar

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Teemu Packalen · UFC
2-3-0 Ottman Azaitar · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
6'1"
HeightΔ 5"
5'8"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
83
Layoff (months)Δ 63.3 mo
19.7
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ottman Azaitar carries real power — 0.80 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Teemu Packalen is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Teemu Packalen carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Teemu Packalen

Full career not yet synced for Teemu Packalen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Ottman Azaitar

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 23
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

502.57/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
834.43/min · norm 3.42
763.91/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
774.11/min · norm 3.37
54.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 43.5%
47.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 56.3%
10.77/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.80/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Teemu Packalen

Distance 73.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.5% (norm 8.0%)

Ottman Azaitar

Distance 80.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 15.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Teemu Packalen

Head 83.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.9%)

Ottman Azaitar

Head 74.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Packalen L/AAccLightweight med Azaitar L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 34 / 68 50.0% 37.9% 58 / 149 38.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 5 / 7 too few to rate 67.3% 17 / 28 60.7% 67.3%
On the ground 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 37 / 77 48.1% 35.0% 54 / 138 39.1% 35.0%
To the body 12 / 13 too few to rate 69.1% 24 / 38 63.2% 69.1%
To the legs 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9% 5 / 10 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Packalen L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Azaitar L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 117 47.9% 38.9% 44 / 119 37.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.6% 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 12 / 18 too few to rate 68.0% 24 / 31 77.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 48 / 109 44.0% 35.1% 57 / 124 46.0% 35.1%
To the body 14 / 20 too few to rate 68.1% 12 / 24 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 14 / 17 too few to rate 81.5% 8 / 14 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

325.0% acc · 2.31/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
1100.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 64.0%
3:2417.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:171.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
7:065:28 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
1:030:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
21.54/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Azaitar has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.