BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tecia Pennington vs.
Rose Namajunas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-8-0 Tecia Pennington · UFC
12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-8-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37
AgeΔ 2.9 yrs
34.1
5'1"
HeightΔ 4"
5'5"
60"
ReachΔ 5"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8.9
Layoff (months)Δ 2.5 mo
6.4
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tecia Pennington rarely shoots — 0.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Rose Namajunas defends head shots well — opponents land just 25%, vs a 36% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tecia Pennington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 118
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 2 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12574.73/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
10403.50/min · norm 3.77
9253.48/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
48.0%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.5%
61.9%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
63.7%norm 54.4%
10.06/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
60.30/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tecia Pennington

Distance 88.8% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 5.0%)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tecia Pennington

Head 71.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 14.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 9.1%)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pennington L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1069 / 2326 46.0% 38.3% 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 148 / 238 62.2% 72.6% 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6%
On the ground 40 / 55 72.7% 75.0% 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 685 / 1868 36.7% 35.4% 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4%
To the body 264 / 371 71.2% 69.3% 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3%
To the legs 308 / 380 81.1% 77.9% 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pennington L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 2081 31.9% 39.7% 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 185 / 252 73.4% 71.5% 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5%
On the ground 76 / 94 80.9% 74.4% 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 471 / 1764 26.7% 36.0% 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0%
To the body 288 / 433 66.5% 68.4% 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4%
To the legs 166 / 230 72.2% 79.1% 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1014.9% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
6162.9% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
41:5315.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
52:042:56 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
70.35/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pennington has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.