BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Tarec Saffiedine vs.
Rick Story

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Tarec Saffiedine · UFC
12-7-0 Rick Story · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 2 yrs
41
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
109.6
Layoff (months)Δ 9.9 mo
119.5
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rick Story hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rick Story is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Tarec Saffiedine rarely shoots — 0.62 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Tarec Saffiedine

Full career not yet synced for Tarec Saffiedine — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.3 wins over .500

Rick Story

Full career not yet synced for Rick Story — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3603.73/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
9013.80/min · norm 3.17
3743.88/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
5152.17/min · norm 3.06
45.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.9%
56.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
30.47/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.38/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Tarec Saffiedine

Distance 89.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.9% (norm 8.1%)

Rick Story

Distance 74.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Tarec Saffiedine

Head 74.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 15.4% (norm 8.4%)

Rick Story

Head 73.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Saffiedine L/AAccWelterweight med Story L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 301 / 699 43.1% 38.6% 548 / 1606 34.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 53 / 78 67.9% 67.8% 201 / 312 64.4% 67.8%
On the ground 6 / 7 too few to rate 67.2% 152 / 240 63.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 586 33.4% 37.2% 465 / 1586 29.3% 37.2%
To the body 62 / 77 80.5% 70.7% 312 / 432 72.2% 70.7%
To the legs 102 / 121 84.3% 82.9% 124 / 140 88.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Saffiedine L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Story L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 288 / 744 38.7% 39.0% 395 / 1173 33.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 72 / 101 71.3% 68.9% 94 / 165 57.0% 68.9%
On the ground 14 / 18 too few to rate 68.0% 26 / 36 72.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 233 / 677 34.4% 35.6% 336 / 1118 30.1% 35.6%
To the body 108 / 148 73.0% 69.6% 108 / 168 64.3% 69.6%
To the legs 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1% 71 / 88 80.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

433.3% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
4048.2% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.27
2180.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4863.2% def · norm 63.9%
13:0213.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
74:5431.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
17:172:41 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
39:212:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.16/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
140.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Story has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.