Takeya Mizugaki vs. Bryan Caraway
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Takeya Mizugaki
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 15 | 7 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 39 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
Bryan Caraway
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 16 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Takeya Mizugaki
Distance 77.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 6.5%)
Bryan Caraway
Distance 90.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Takeya Mizugaki
Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)
Bryan Caraway
Head 90.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Mizugaki L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Caraway L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 421 / 1193 | 35.3% | 39.0% | 269 / 808 | 33.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 99 / 179 | 55.3% | 68.7% | 33 / 76 | 43.4% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 93 / 159 | 58.5% | 70.2% | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 443 / 1306 | 33.9% | 34.9% | 248 / 806 | 30.8% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 121 / 154 | 78.6% | 66.8% | 32 / 52 | 61.5% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 49 / 71 | 69.0% | 79.4% | 29 / 37 | 78.4% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Mizugaki L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Caraway L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 354 / 1020 | 34.7% | 39.3% | 358 / 846 | 42.3% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 128 / 167 | 76.6% | 70.4% | 86 / 139 | 61.9% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 35 / 48 | 72.9% | 72.4% | 17 / 26 | 65.4% | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 324 / 998 | 32.5% | 34.9% | 289 / 803 | 36.0% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 149 / 187 | 79.7% | 66.0% | 100 / 128 | 78.1% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 44 / 50 | 88.0% | 79.1% | 72 / 80 | 90.0% | 79.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mizugaki has more cage time on record.