BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Stipe Miocic vs.
Gabriel Gonzaga

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-5-0 Stipe Miocic · UFC
12-10-0 Gabriel Gonzaga · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-5-0
UFC record
12-10-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
44
AgeΔ 3.2 yrs
47.2
6'4"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
80"
ReachΔ 4"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
20.6
Layoff (months)Δ 103.3 mo
123.9
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gabriel Gonzaga is a submission threat — 1.20 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Gabriel Gonzaga hunts takedowns — 2.62 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Stipe Miocic hunts takedowns — 1.74 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Stipe Miocic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 145
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Gabriel Gonzaga

Full career not yet synced for Gabriel Gonzaga — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10074.67/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2932.13/min · norm 3.36
8654.01/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3712.70/min · norm 3.19
52.7%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 47.8%
52.3%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
59.1%norm 52.5%
70.49/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
70.76/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Stipe Miocic

Distance 79.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 9.3%)

Gabriel Gonzaga

Distance 67.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 22.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Stipe Miocic

Head 84.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.6%)

Gabriel Gonzaga

Head 78.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Miocic L/AAccHeavyweight med Gonzaga L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 721 / 1512 47.7% 40.1% 156 / 440 35.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 121 / 179 67.6% 70.6% 43 / 64 67.2% 70.6%
On the ground 165 / 219 75.3% 70.2% 94 / 146 64.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 737 / 1612 45.7% 38.9% 186 / 507 36.7% 38.9%
To the body 139 / 159 87.4% 76.8% 42 / 60 70.0% 76.8%
To the legs 131 / 139 94.2% 87.8% 65 / 83 78.3% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Miocic L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Gonzaga L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 705 / 1601 44.0% 40.7% 189 / 643 29.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6% 92 / 130 70.8% 70.6%
On the ground 88 / 107 82.2% 72.0% 90 / 133 67.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 624 / 1449 43.1% 38.8% 310 / 820 37.8% 38.8%
To the body 129 / 231 55.8% 75.1% 33 / 50 66.0% 75.1%
To the legs 112 / 134 83.6% 84.4% 28 / 36 77.8% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2534.2% acc · 1.74/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
2438.1% acc · 2.62/15 · norm 0.95
1365.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1275.0% def · norm 64.3%
57:1626.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
37:1027.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
11:050:46 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
16:541:50 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
111.20/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gonzaga has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.