BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Stewart Nicoll vs.
Lucas Rocha

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-4-0 Stewart Nicoll · UFC
1-1-0 Lucas Rocha · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-4-0
UFC record
1-1-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30
AgeΔ 5 yrs
25
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'3"
65"
ReachΔ 1"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 9.2 mo
9.8
LLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Stewart Nicoll hunts takedowns — 2.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Lucas Rocha outworks the Flyweight division — 5.95 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.49 norm.
Lucas Rocha hunts takedowns — 2.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Stewart Nicoll

Full career not yet synced for Stewart Nicoll — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Lucas Rocha

Full career not yet synced for Lucas Rocha — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1283.01/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1325.95/min · norm 3.49
2054.81/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
793.56/min · norm 3.24
37.2%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
49.4%norm 44.6%
54.1%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
60.1%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Stewart Nicoll

Distance 95.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 0.9% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 3.8% (norm 7.3%)

Lucas Rocha

Distance 91.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Stewart Nicoll

Head 85.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 9.3%)

Lucas Rocha

Head 80.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nicoll L/AAccFlyweight med Rocha L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 328 37.2% 40.0% 116 / 244 47.5% 40.0%
In the clinch 0 / 3 too few to rate 70.4% 12 / 17 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 6 / 13 too few to rate 69.7% 4 / 6 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 91 / 295 30.8% 37.6% 91 / 216 42.1% 37.6%
To the body 20 / 28 71.4% 68.5% 36 / 45 80.0% 68.5%
To the legs 17 / 21 too few to rate 80.0% 5 / 6 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nicoll L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Rocha L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 420 44.3% 40.1% 65 / 178 36.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.8% 1 / 4 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 6 / 8 too few to rate 71.1% 13 / 16 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 145 / 374 38.8% 35.2% 63 / 178 35.4% 35.2%
To the body 49 / 58 84.5% 68.2% 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 11 / 15 too few to rate 80.3% 7 / 9 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

822.9% acc · 2.82/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
375.0% acc · 2.03/15 · norm 1.30
433.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1982.6% def · norm 62.5%
7:5718.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
1:256.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
5:161:51 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
6:084:08 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nicoll has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.