BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Stevie Ray vs.
Leonardo Mafra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-4-0 Stevie Ray · UFC
1-3-0 Leonardo Mafra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-4-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
36
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
81.3
Layoff (months)Δ 51.3 mo
132.6
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Leonardo Mafra, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Leonardo Mafra hunts takedowns — 2.12 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Stevie Ray rarely shoots — 0.75 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Stevie Ray

Full career not yet synced for Stevie Ray — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Leonardo Mafra

Full career not yet synced for Leonardo Mafra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4493.73/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1614.55/min · norm 3.42
3532.93/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1554.38/min · norm 3.37
44.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.5%norm 43.5%
54.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
43.6%norm 56.3%
10.12/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Stevie Ray

Distance 82.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.0% (norm 8.0%)

Leonardo Mafra

Distance 86.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Stevie Ray

Head 77.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.8% (norm 7.9%)

Leonardo Mafra

Head 74.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ray L/AAccLightweight med Mafra L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 328 / 827 39.7% 37.9% 129 / 286 45.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 31 / 52 59.6% 67.3% 14 / 21 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 90 / 120 75.0% 69.1% 18 / 25 72.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 280 / 774 36.2% 35.0% 97 / 246 39.4% 35.0%
To the body 50 / 77 64.9% 69.1% 24 / 39 61.5% 69.1%
To the legs 119 / 148 80.4% 81.9% 40 / 47 85.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ray L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Mafra L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 288 / 682 42.2% 38.9% 102 / 203 50.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 15 / 33 45.5% 68.6% 7 / 12 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 50 / 65 76.9% 68.0% 46 / 60 76.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 203 / 574 35.4% 35.1% 115 / 213 54.0% 35.1%
To the body 87 / 136 64.0% 68.1% 32 / 51 62.7% 68.1%
To the legs 63 / 70 90.0% 81.5% 8 / 11 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 0.75/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
583.3% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.38
1555.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
969.2% def · norm 64.0%
15:4013.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
6:5119.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
28:173:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
11:414:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.62/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.42/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ray has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.