BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Steven Siler vs.
Kurt Holobaugh

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-4-0 Steven Siler · UFC
2-7-0 Kurt Holobaugh · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-4-0
UFC record
2-7-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39.5
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
39.9
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
144.3
Layoff (months)Δ 130.1 mo
14.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Steven Siler is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Steven Siler rarely shoots — 0.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Kurt Holobaugh is a submission threat — 0.77 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Steven Siler

Full career not yet synced for Steven Siler — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Kurt Holobaugh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 27
Tier 3 — regional circuit 203

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3053.21/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
4564.65/min · norm 3.42
2812.96/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
4434.52/min · norm 3.37
41.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
45.0%norm 43.5%
54.5%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
48.5%norm 56.3%
10.16/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Steven Siler

Distance 73.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 20.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 6.5%)

Kurt Holobaugh

Distance 86.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Steven Siler

Head 82.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.8%)

Kurt Holobaugh

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Siler L/AAccFeatherweight med Holobaugh L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 179 / 536 33.4% 40.9% 357 / 880 40.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 99 / 150 66.0% 70.8% 75 / 104 72.1% 67.3%
On the ground 27 / 48 56.2% 69.2% 24 / 30 80.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 194 / 606 32.0% 37.2% 283 / 784 36.1% 35.0%
To the body 78 / 88 88.6% 68.2% 113 / 153 73.9% 69.1%
To the legs 33 / 40 82.5% 80.7% 60 / 77 77.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Siler L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Holobaugh L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 149 / 435 34.3% 39.2% 292 / 648 45.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 69 / 89 77.5% 70.3% 72 / 102 70.6% 68.6%
On the ground 63 / 94 67.0% 69.4% 79 / 110 71.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 168 / 470 35.7% 35.9% 329 / 717 45.9% 35.1%
To the body 52 / 76 68.4% 67.9% 80 / 103 77.7% 68.1%
To the legs 61 / 72 84.7% 81.5% 34 / 40 85.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

321.4% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
533.3% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.38
2755.1% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1336.1% def · norm 64.0%
14:2515.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
16:1616.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
38:346:05 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
41:386:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
101.58/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
50.77/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Siler has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.