Steve Erceg vs.
Kai Kara-France
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Steve Erceg
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 5 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 9 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.98 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 19 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500
Kai Kara-France
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 17 | 6 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.65 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Steve Erceg
Distance 93.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.8% (norm 7.3%)
Kai Kara-France
Distance 90.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Steve Erceg
Head 83.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 9.3%)
Kai Kara-France
Head 79.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Erceg L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Kara-France L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 501 / 1132 | 44.3% | 40.0% | 612 / 1602 | 38.2% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 55 / 64 | 85.9% | 70.4% | 16 / 25 | 64.0% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 69.7% | 84 / 142 | 59.2% | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 419 / 1007 | 41.6% | 37.6% | 455 / 1411 | 32.2% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 103 / 150 | 68.7% | 68.5% | 104 / 170 | 61.2% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 43 / 49 | 87.8% | 80.0% | 153 / 188 | 81.4% | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Erceg L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Kara-France L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 441 / 1059 | 41.6% | 40.1% | 480 / 1380 | 34.8% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 44 / 57 | 77.2% | 68.8% | 14 / 32 | 43.8% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 28 / 38 | 73.7% | 71.1% | 23 / 35 | 65.7% | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 309 / 874 | 35.4% | 35.2% | 383 / 1255 | 30.5% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 97 / 156 | 62.2% | 68.2% | 86 / 131 | 65.6% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 107 / 124 | 86.3% | 80.3% | 48 / 61 | 78.7% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kara-France has more cage time on record.