BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Spencer Fisher vs.
Thiago Alves

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-8-0 Spencer Fisher · UFC
15-12-0 Thiago Alves · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-8-0
UFC record
15-12-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
50.2
AgeΔ 7.4 yrs
42.8
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
68"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
169.4
Layoff (months)Δ 89.4 mo
80
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Alves carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Spencer Fisher is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Spencer Fisher rarely shoots — 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Spencer Fisher

Full career not yet synced for Spencer Fisher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Thiago Alves

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Alves — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6373.17/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
11063.73/min · norm 3.17
6093.03/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10153.42/min · norm 3.06
43.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.9%
64.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
30.22/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
130.66/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Spencer Fisher

Distance 76.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.9% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Alves

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Spencer Fisher

Head 71.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.9%)

Thiago Alves

Head 73.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Fisher L/AAccLightweight med Alves L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 404 / 1122 36.0% 37.9% 867 / 2227 38.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 172 / 241 71.4% 67.3% 126 / 208 60.6% 67.8%
On the ground 61 / 101 60.4% 69.1% 113 / 213 53.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 305 / 1049 29.1% 35.0% 569 / 1953 29.1% 37.2%
To the body 203 / 262 77.5% 69.1% 150 / 200 75.0% 70.7%
To the legs 129 / 153 84.3% 81.9% 387 / 495 78.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Fisher L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 377 / 1301 29.0% 38.9% 731 / 2283 32.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 111 / 151 73.5% 68.6% 159 / 251 63.3% 68.9%
On the ground 121 / 246 49.2% 68.0% 125 / 174 71.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 343 / 1324 25.9% 35.1% 649 / 2203 29.5% 35.6%
To the body 146 / 228 64.0% 68.1% 218 / 312 69.9% 69.6%
To the legs 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5% 148 / 193 76.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

930.0% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1460.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
5860.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
7763.1% def · norm 63.9%
25:1312.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
30:5610.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
74:105:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
76:113:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
100.75/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
60.30/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.