BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Shonie Carter vs.
Matt Serra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Shonie Carter · UFC
7-7-0 Matt Serra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
54.3
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
52.2
5'10"
HeightΔ 4"
5'6"
Reach
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
235.7
Layoff (months)Δ 45.4 mo
190.3
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Shonie Carter hunts takedowns — 2.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Shonie Carter

Full career not yet synced for Shonie Carter — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Matt Serra

Full career not yet synced for Matt Serra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1131.88/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3331.98/min · norm 3.17
1111.84/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
41.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 55.25%
20.50/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.45/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shonie Carter

Distance 74.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.2% (norm 8.1%)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shonie Carter

Head 66.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.4% (norm 8.4%)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carter L/AAccWelterweight med Serra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 76 / 205 37.1% 38.6% 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 21 / 31 67.7% 67.8% 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8%
On the ground 16 / 39 41.0% 67.2% 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 44 / 182 24.2% 37.2% 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2%
To the body 25 / 37 67.6% 70.7% 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 44 / 56 78.6% 82.9% 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carter L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 76 / 182 41.8% 39.0% 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 26 / 42 61.9% 68.9% 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9%
On the ground 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.0% 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 186 40.9% 35.6% 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 20 / 27 74.1% 69.6% 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6%
To the legs 15 / 22 too few to rate 82.1% 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1066.7% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
1680.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
17:0628.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
15:353:53 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
100.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Serra has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.